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"I’ve been eating up this website’s content like a buffet"
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Scout the Statline is a baseball-enthusiast site designed to provide actionable, up-to-date intel on MLB players and prospects. Leveraging research on major league equivalencies and aging curves, we have built predictive data models that analyze players and prospects at different ages and across levels. As a result of this novel approach, we can project future statistical output based on current performances and instantly rank thousands of players without bias. No more waiting for the next top players list release, at Scout the Statline you will find lists updated daily, adapting every day to new information from the previous day's results.
Our site is designed with dynasty-style fantasy baseball players in mind, but general baseball fans will also find invaluable information within our pages.
Visit the Helpful Links & Articles section found at the bottom of the Articles & Analysis page to learn more about our background and methodology.
"It’s about getting things down to one number. Using the stats the way we read them, we’ll find value in players that no one else can see. People are overlooked for a variety of biased reasons and perceived flaws. Age, appearance, personality…mathematics cut straight through that…of the 20,000 notable players for us to consider, I believe that there is a championship team of twenty-five people that we can afford, because everyone else in baseball undervalues them.
Like an island of misfit toys."
Major league equivalencies take data from the minor leagues and translate it to Major League level, based on how player performance has translated historically.
Aging curves are based on the developmental trajectory that an average Major League Baseball player follows.
Peak major league equivalencies, or simply peak projections, combine the two to project a player's predicted peak production.
By building peak projections, we are able to view what all players will look like at their very best based on what they are actually doing on the field now. This statistical approach eliminates bias from player evaluation and allows us to shine a spotlight on high-rising and underrated players.
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Purpose: The Top Projected Hitters list functions as Scout the Statline's version of a top dynasty players list.
Attributes/Features: The Top Projected Hitters list uses past performance data and research on aging curves and minors-to-majors translations to produce future projections. Each player is assigned a rank based on these projections.
Use: This list is designed to help you find overlooked or under-valued talent compared with more traditional top players lists.
Update Cadence: Daily for members, periodically for non-members
Purpose: The Top Projected Prospect list functions as Scout the Statline's version of a top dynasty prospects list.
Attributes/Features: The Top Projected Prospects list uses past performance data and research on aging curves and minors-to-majors translations to produce future projections. Each player is assigned a rank based on these projections. All methodology is the same as found in the Top Projected Hitters/Pitchers lists, however, there is a slight variance in the prospect rankings due to the following unique attributes.
Use: This list is designed to help you find overlooked or under-valued talent compared to traditional top prospects lists.
Update Cadence: Daily for members, periodically for non-members
Purpose: Like the Top Projected Hitters and Top Projected Prospects lists, the 2023 Prospect Leaderboard formulates peak projections and rankings based on them. Unlike those two lists, the Prospect Leaderboard only uses single-season data from 2023. This makes this list more subject to volatility, but also makes it more responsive to high-risers.
Attributes/Features:
Use: The most valuable use of the Leaderboard is in spotlighting rising talent. Since the list is updated daily, it is beneficial for "churning" your roster for new prospect talent. Pay attention to the players that rise and stay at the top of the list as they have a chance to become the next big-name prospect to debut on future top prospect lists!
Update Cadence: Daily for members
Purpose: Similar to the Single Season Leaders' architecture, the Prospect Hot List hones in and aggregates prospects' most recent activity (displaying actual results) and gives them a rank with aging curve and translation data in mind. There is a 7-day and a 30-day version of the Hot List to help you look at your preferred length of time.
Attributes/Features:
Use: Like the Leaderboard, the hot list is designed to help with prospect "churning". It will show you the best performing prospects over the last week and the last month.
Update Cadence: Daily for members
Purpose: Prospect Larceny's formulated rankings use a variety of underlying metrics to determine player value.
Attributes/Features:
Use: Similar to the Prospect Leaderboard, this board will give you up-to-date intel on who the fastest rising prospects are.
Update Cadence: Weekly
Purpose: BaGS=Batter Game Score. More formulated rankings based on statistical performance for you to digest! Find BaGS boards based on MLB, MiLB, and college data!
Use: While not scaled to peak, BaGS can help highlight the best performers by distilling things down to one number.
Update Cadence: Periodically through the season
Purpose: DIGS=Defense Independent Game Score. More formulated rankings based on statistical performance for you to digest, similar to BaGS, but built for pitching.
Use: While not scaled to peak, DIGS can help highlight the best performers by distilling things down to one number.
Update Cadence: Periodically through the season
Purpose: The Predictive wOBA Board is designed to remove luck from the equation and inform you what a player's performance would be based on underlying metrics.
Use: Looking for players that have been unlucky to add for a discount? This will help!
Update Cadence: Periodically through the season
Purpose: Some of the most important factors to consider with prospects is hitter plate discipline and pitcher command.
Use: These underlying metrics can help you find the next hitting or pitching talent to add to your roster!
Update Cadence: Periodically through the season
Purpose: This list shares the same methodology as our Top Projected Hitters list, but contains results stretching back to 2017.
Use: This serves as a type of back-testing for our Top Projected Hitters efficacy.
Update Cadence: Periodically through the season
Purpose: This is a list of the top projected minor leaguers stretching back to 2006 based on our peak projections.
Attributes/Features:
Use: This serves as a type of back-testing for our peak projections and also helps inform how your favorite prospects compare to prospects from yesteryear.
Update Cadence: Annually
A couple like-minded dynasty baseball enthusiasts, Ross and Jordan began working together through The Dynasty Guru in 2019. We agreed that player analysis is sometimes clouded by analyst or scout biases and that actual performance relative to age and level is often neglected. Thanks to our unique backgrounds and similar interests, an opportunity presented itself for us to use statistical analysis and data modeling to build leaderboards and rankings that are impartial and easily updated. We believe we can deliver actionable information to you faster than you will find anywhere else, whether it be for fantasy baseball, card collecting, or simply as a baseball hobbyist!
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